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Investors brace for ‘regime shift’ as market volatility returns

Surge in ‘fear gauge’ could herald tougher time for capital markets activity

Investors are bracing for more volatility this summer after this year’s calm in global financial markets was shattered.

A surge in the Vix index — the market’s “fear gauge” which shows how far investors expect US stocks to swing over the next month — to its highest level on Monday since the start of the coronavirus pandemic in early 2020 could herald a tougher period for global stocks and put a dampener on capital markets activity in the short term, said analysts.

“This is a regime shift,” said Ajay Rajadhyaksha, global chair of research at Barclays, who described the Vix’s peak on Monday as “pretty scary”.

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