观点石油

Peak oil is coming — but nobody seems to know when
Lex专栏:“石油峰值”终将到来,但具体何时无人知晓

The point at which consumption starts to tail off is being pushed further into the future
石油消费开始放缓的时间点正被推得越来越往后。

How much oil will the world need in future? It depends on when the planet reaches “peak oil”, that moment at which consumption hits a maximum and then starts to gradually tail off. The debate over when this might happen, and what happens thereafter, vexes academics, politicians and executives. It’s a pain for shareholders too.

未来世界需要多少石油?这取决于地球何时到达“石油峰值”——即消费达到顶点并开始逐步回落的时刻。关于这一时点何时到来、以及之后会发生什么的争论,令学者、政客和企业高管倍感困扰。对股东来说,这也是个麻烦。

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