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Bear market rally II

And why house prices will fall, not crash

Good morning. Some nasty selling in tech yesterday, though just about all of it after hours. If the pattern holds after markets open today, things could get ugly. Email us: robert.armstrong@ft.com and ethan.wu@ft.com.

Bear market rally redux

Markets are feeling better all of a sudden. The S&P 500 is up 10 per cent from its lows of two weeks ago, and 5 per cent above where it closed last Thursday. One big reason appears to be this:

Federal Reserve officials are barrelling toward another interest-rate rise of 0.75 percentage point at their meeting Nov. 1-2 and are likely to debate then whether and how to signal plans to approve a smaller increase in December …

“The time is now to start planning for stepping down,” said San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly during a talk at the University of California, Berkeley on Friday.

That’s from an article the Wall Street Journal ran on Friday, which markets took as unofficial Fedspeak.

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