The latest opinion poll from Scotland shows support for independence down to a new low of 23 per cent. Alex Salmond, Scotland’s charismatic first minister, is very unlikely to achieve the Yes vote he seeks in next year’s referendum. Yet the history of votes on constitutional reform suggests that the very factors that make Mr Salmond’s referendum plan likely to fail make British prime minister David Cameron’s EU referendum plan more likely to succeed.
最新民调显示，苏格兰民众中支持独立者所占比率创下23%的新低。颇有魅力的苏格兰首席大臣亚历克斯•萨尔蒙德(Alex Salmond)希望明年的全民公投能通过独立议案，但现在看来他多半无法如愿。然而，宪法改革投票的历史表明，可能导致萨尔蒙德全民公投计划失败的因素，正是可能让英国首相戴维•卡梅伦(David Cameron)“脱欧”公投计划获得成功的原因。
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