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Why worries about China make sense

Iam neither intelligent enough to understand the behaviour of “Mr Market” — the manic-depressive dreamt up by investment guru, Benjamin Graham — nor foolish enough to believe I do. But he has surely been in a depressive phase. Behind this seem to be concerns about China. Is Mr Market right to be anxious? In brief, yes.

One must distinguish between what is worth worrying about and what is not. The decline of the Chinese stock market is in the second category. What is worth worrying about is the scale of the task confronting the Chinese authorities against their apparent inability to deal well with the bursting of a mere stock market bubble.

Stock markets have indeed been correcting, with the Chinese market in the lead. Between its peak in June and Tuesday, the Shanghai index fell by 43 per cent. Yet the Chinese stock market remains 50 per cent higher than in early 2014. The implosion of the second Chinese stock market bubble within a decade still seems unfinished. (See charts).

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马丁•沃尔夫

马丁•沃尔夫(Martin Wolf) 是英国《金融时报》副主编及首席manbetx20客户端下载 评论员。为嘉奖他对财经新闻作出的杰出贡献,沃尔夫于2000年荣获大英帝国勋爵位勋章(CBE)。他是牛津大学纳菲尔德学院客座研究员,并被授予剑桥大学圣体学院和牛津manbetx20客户端下载 政策研究院(Oxonia)院士,同时也是诺丁汉大学特约教授。自1999年和2006年以来,他分别担任达沃斯(Davos)每年一度“世界manbetx20客户端下载 论坛”的特邀评委成员和国际传媒委员会的成员。2006年7月他荣获诺丁汉大学文学博士;在同年12月他又荣获伦敦政治manbetx20客户端下载 学院科学(manbetx20客户端下载 )博士荣誉教授的称号。

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