China’s one child policy has been basically unnecessary (taking the CCP’s logic as your base) for quite a while. The NBS has, for example, said it expects China’s working age population to decrease “steadily and gradually over or at least before 2030″. And that graphed looks like this:
And more simply (added late via BI) from Barc:
But remember, the one child policy was already loosened in late 2013. You could have a second child if you or your partner were yourself an only child. That alongside the fact it was already possible to buy yourself an exception and it didn’t count if you were a rural family whose first child was a girl meant there were quite a few loopholes. And in 2007, via JPM, a family-planning official in China estimated the one-child policy applied to less than 40 per cent of the population. .