专栏2017英国大选

What Theresa May’s election gambit means for Brexit

With one bound? Theresa May is making a dash for freedom. The prime minister’s calculation is that a decisive general election victory on June 8 would bestow a personal mandate, the right to set her own agenda, and, this above all, the authority over her own party she needs to negotiate Brexit. A glance at the opinion polls tells you the stars will never be more favourably aligned.

Received wisdom had it that Mrs May was perfectly comfortable governing in the shadow of her predecessor David Cameron. Had she not said many times that the present parliament would run its full course until 2020? Received wisdom has taken quite a battering lately. If there was a justified element of surprise in her announcement it was because this cautious, deliberative politician has a deserved reputation for risk aversion.

Doing nothing was the bigger risk. Mrs May was a Remainer, albeit a reluctant one, during last year’s referendum campaign. She will never be trusted by the anti-European ultras on the Conservative right for whom a hard Brexit is the soft option. With a small parliamentary majority, it was already evident they could take her prisoner during negotiations with the other 27 member states of the EU. She needed to shift the dynamic. The alternative was to hold on to office without power.

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菲利普•斯蒂芬斯

菲利普•斯蒂芬斯(Philip Stephens)目前担任英国《金融时报》的副主编。作为FT的首席政治评论员,他的专栏每两周更新一次,评论manbetx app苹果 和英国的事务。他著述甚丰,曾经为英国前首相托尼-布莱尔写传记。斯蒂芬斯毕业于牛津大学,目前和家人住在伦敦。

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