观点气候变化

El Niño’s arrival spells out the stark choices on climate

Governments’ plans to tackle the escalating cost of living will need to factor in crop failures and spiralling commodity prices

The writer is a science commentator

When UK temperatures hit a record 40C last year, Imperial College climate scientist Friederike Otto responded to comparisons with the 1976 heatwave by observing: “By definition unprecedented means it hasn’t happened before.”

Prepare for more of the same. Last week, the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration announced the official arrival of the El Niño weather phenomenon — which occurs about every two to seven years but not predictably. The change, linked to rising sea surface temperatures, will push more heat into an already-warming atmosphere: some scientists predict the symbolic 1.5C cap on global heating may soon be temporarily exceeded.

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