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China faces the risk of a debt-deflation loop

The country should stimulate consumption with spending on education, healthcare and public housing

The writer is chief Asia economist at Morgan Stanley

In 2002, Ben Bernanke, then a governor at the US Federal Reserve, gave a speech outlining the importance of keeping deflation at bay. He concluded: “Sustained deflation can be highly destructive to a modern economy and should be strongly resisted.”

Such a warning might not seem pertinent for much of the world where central banks are arguably still fighting the battle against inflation. But in China, it seems highly relevant.

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