观点金融市场

Stock markets are not in a 1990s redux
股市并没有回到上世纪90年代

We don’t have the conditions to support a sustained US equity bull run
巴韦贾:现在的股市上涨不同于上世纪90年代的泡沫,但我们也不具备支持股市持续牛市的条件。

The writer is chief strategist at UBS Investment Bank The intellectual anchor for the equity rally that began after the US Federal Reserve ended its cycle of increases in January 1995 was provided by Alan Greenspan when the then chair of the central bank extolled improved productivity. The Fed is again close to a dovish pivot and, once more, forecasts of a productivity tipping point are driving equities higher — this time from the spread of artificial intelligence.

本文作者是瑞银(UBS)投资银行首席策略师

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