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The Lex 2024 hits and misses: slick on oil, blown off course on wind
Lex专栏:对2024年预测的复盘

Right on the price of crude — but who would have thought renewables would have another bad year?
本专栏在2024年初根据manbetx3.0 需求对油价走势做出正确判断,但没想到可再生能源行业会迎来又一个糟糕年份。

“We know fucking nothing more than anybody else does about oil prices.” So said Ryanair’s boss Michael O’Leary in his usual colourful manner at the European airline’s half-year earnings in November. Others have expressed similar sentiments over the years about how betting on the oil price is a fool’s game — although minus the swear words. Still, Lex bravely ventured forth last in January 2024 with a prediction that the days of $100 oil prices were over.

“对于油价,我们的了解真他妈不比其他人多,”瑞安航空(Ryanair)的老板迈克尔•奥利里(Michael O'Leary) 11月在公司发布半年盈利报告时以一贯的生动措辞说道。多年来,其他人也曾表达类似的观点(尽管没有用脏话),认为押注油价是一种傻瓜游戏。话虽如此,Lex专栏在2024年1月大胆预测,每桶100美元油价的时期已经结束。

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