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AI drives upswing for chipmakers but doubts linger

Analysts see a ‘turning point’ this year for the $600bn market but question the speed of recovery

The semiconductor industry has begun the year with growing confidence that it left its latest cyclical downturn behind in 2023, as analysts hail a “turning point” for the $600bn market.

But behind headline forecasts of a double-digit recovery in chip spending this year lies uncertainty about how broadly based that bounceback will be, as rising demand for the high-priced processors designed for artificial intelligence is offset by a more muted outlook in other parts of the tech sector.

The latest figures from the US-based Semiconductor Industry Association, which represents most global chipmakers, show that worldwide sales climbed to $48bn in November, rising on both an annual and quarterly basis for the first time in more than a year. Monthly sales peaked above $50bn during the first half of 2022.

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