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What the polls can’t tell us about America’s election
民调无法说明美国大选的真相

A torrent of data on the presidential race seems to get us no closer to predicting the result. Is addiction to polling distracting people from the issues at stake?
关于总统竞选的大量数据似乎并没有让我们更接近预测结果。对民意调查的沉迷是否会分散人们对关键问题的注意力?

There have been 907 polls conducted by 141 pollsters regarding next month’s US presidential election between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, according to data from aggregator FiveThirtyEight. They have been conducted online, over email, on the phone and via text message. In total, they have queried the voting intentions of 821,525 American voters, nationally and in 44 states and congressional districts.

根据数据聚合网站FiveThirtyEight的数据,141家民调机构已经进行了907次关于下个月美国总统选举的民调,候选人是卡玛拉•哈里斯(Kamala Harris)和唐纳德•特朗普(Donald Trump)。这些民调通过在线、电子邮件、电话和短信进行。总共,他们调查了821,525名美国选民的投票意向,覆盖全国和44个州以及国会选区。

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