In one corner of markets at least, it looks like the amateurs are outsmarting the professionals again.
A good majority of the big asset managers and banks had a clear view for this year that bonds are back. If that rings a bell then yes, we have heard this before. No, it didn’t really work out, due to the persistence of bonds’ mortal enemy: inflation. But for 2025, the message was clear: central banks are cutting rates and you won’t see yields like this again. Get out of cash, buy the bonds and lock those rates in.
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