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Ukraine ceasefire: what is Vladimir Putin’s game?

Moscow has little reason to stop fighting unless it achieves its goals through other means

After Ukraine agreed to a US proposal for an unconditional 30-day ceasefire in its conflict with Russia, Vladimir Putin on Wednesday donned military fatigues and visited a command post to hear that Moscow was close to retaking the entire region of Kursk.

Speaking a day later alongside Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko — who brokered two failed processes to end Putin’s initial invasion of Ukraine a decade ago — the Russian president said any ceasefire would simply let Kyiv’s forces regroup just as Moscow is close to driving them out of Kursk.

The message from Putin was clear: with its forces advancing across the almost 2,000km frontline, Russia has little reason to stop fighting unless it achieves its goals through other means.

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