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Thermal coal prices hit 4-year low amid supply glut

Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022 sparked bull market but subsequent output surge now weighs down on prices

Thermal coal prices could fall further from around their four-year low, said analysts, as surging production in China leads to a glut across global markets.

Benchmark prices for seaborne thermal coal, which is used in power stations to generate electricity, have tumbled to one-quarter of their peak levels in 2022, when Russia’s invasion of Ukraine sparked an energy crisis and a huge bull market in coal.

A prolonged period of high prices in 2022 and 2023 — from which some miners and hedge funds were able to reap large profits — drove a surge in production, with China, India and Indonesia opening new mines in recent years.

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