Donald Trump took the biggest gamble of his combined four and a half years in the White House on Saturday night in striking Iran and joining Israel’s war against the Islamic republic.
Trump’s primary wager is that Iran and its proxies in the Middle East have been so weakened that the US president can cast his intervention as both limited and successful. It is also a bet that a cowed Tehran will swiftly seek a settlement rather than retaliating.
If Trump is right he will have achieved a goal of US foreign policy spanning multiple administrations — the elimination of the Iranian nuclear threat — and done so at relatively low cost.
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