European banks are in line for a €30bn boost to interest income over the next two years, as loan growth and hedging help offset the drag to profitability from lower interest rates.
Growth in net interest income (NII) — a key driver of lenders’ profits — is widely expected to pick up in 2026 and 2027 having flatlined in 2025, as central banks lowered rates.
Analysts at UBS estimated that NII will climb 3 per cent in 2026 and another 4.5 per cent in 2027, increasing from €371bn to €399bn across the European sector during the two-year period.
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