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UK faces biggest hit to growth from Middle East war, OECD warns

Outlook underscores economy’s exposure to conflict through reliance on energy imports

The UK faces the biggest hit to growth from the Middle East war of all G20 economies, the OECD has warned, underlining how exposed the country is to the global energy shock.

The Paris-based organisation downgraded its 2026 growth forecast to 0.7 per cent, from a previous prediction of 1.2 per cent, the steepest cut in the OECD’s interim economic outlook released on Tuesday.

Inflation would accelerate to 4 per cent this year because of higher energy prices, the OECD said, the second-highest rate in the G7, and up from 3.4 per cent last year.

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