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Global economic outlook darkens as policymakers count cost of Iran war

Central bankers and economists prepare to meet in Washington to assess conflict’s damage

The IMF is widely expected to downgrade the outlook for the global economy in the coming week as policymakers count the mounting cost of the US-Israeli war on Iran.

Central bankers and key economic figures from leading economies are preparing to gather in Washington this week for the twice-yearly IMF and World Bank spring meetings. Analysts have warned that even if the current ceasefire holds, the economic damage caused by the conflict is likely to linger.

The global economy had been “thrown off track” and the disruption would “almost certainly lead to a spike in inflation”, Eswar Prasad of the Brookings Institution warned.

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