Long-haul airlines are braced for billions of dollars in extra costs as a looming shortage of carbon credits threatens to drive up prices for the permits required to offset their emissions.
The cost of credits could rise almost eightfold to $100 a tonne by 2035 as airlines’ demand outpaces supply, according to research by data provider MSCI Carbon Markets.
The soaring prices could result in a bill of up to $127bn for the industry over the life of a major international emissions reduction scheme, which compels carriers to buy credits to offset their carbon emissions.
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