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Investors should stay overweight equities during market turbulence

Monetary responses to rising inflation will be more muted than in past crises
The writer is global chief investment strategist at the BlackRock Investment Institute

Market sentiment has been swinging between extremes: one day the concern is runaway inflation; the next, the gloomy prospect of a deflationary spiral.

That financial markets are struggling to find their footing should be no great surprise: the world’s worst pandemic for 100 years shut down much of the global economy for close to a year. As it restarts, the question markets are grappling with is: what comes next?

There are no case studies that provide anything close to a working hypothesis. So much in financial markets and global trade has changed since the 1918 influenza pandemic that there is little to be gleaned from that experience — beyond, perhaps, the influence of a similar psychological trauma on our behaviour.

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