By mid-August, ministers and scientists feared the UK would be reporting 100,000 coronavirus cases a day because of the highly infectious Delta variant and a surge in social mixing after England’s July 19 “freedom day”.
Instead, cases currently stand at about a third of that figure, having dropped from a mid-July peak of more than 50,000 a day to a low of just above 20,000 in early August. They are now starting to creep up again.
The trajectory for Covid-19 is uncertain, but some scientists expect cases to rise significantly because social mixing will increase in the coming weeks, posing a big test for the effectiveness of vaccines.
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