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Stagflation risk returns for investors as gas prices surge

The rosy market calculus of strong growth underpinned by cheap finance into perpetuity is under threat
The writer is chief economist of G+ Economics

As an extreme surge in European gas prices rattles markets, suddenly stagflation has returned as a risk for investors to factor into their outlook, casting a shadow over the recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic.

The threat might be far from a repeat of the 1970s when double-digit inflation rates, rising unemployment and weak economic growth left scars on the collective memory of markets.

However, the risk of a stagflation scenario of slowing growth and rising prices is enough for investors and policymakers to worry about.

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