金融市场

Government bond markets rally as growth fears overshadow inflation

Some investors are betting that recession risks will push bond yields lower in coming months

Government bond markets have clawed back part of this year’s heavy losses in recent weeks as investors’ attention shifts from sky-high inflation to signs that economic growth is slowing.

Bonds have endured a torrid year so far as major central banks rush to contain runaway price rises by embarking on a rapid tightening of monetary policy. But longer-term government debt — an ultra-safe asset which tends to benefit from fears over the health of the economy — has steadied in recent weeks as a sell-off in riskier assets like stocks accelerates.

A Bloomberg gauge of long-term US government bonds is on course for a third consecutive weekly rise, gaining more than 4 per cent since May 6, a turnround echoed in European markets. Although the recovery remains modest compared with the scale of earlier declines — the index is more than 18 per cent lower year-to-date — some investors sense a turning point for the heaviest global bond sell-off in decades.

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