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Investors are on recession watch

The combination of a bear market and an economic downturn has historically been ugly
The writer is editor-in-chief of Money Week

Are we nearly there yet? Global markets are over 20 per cent off their highs. And the past month has been particularly horrible.

Even the longstanding defensive (and supposedly diverse) strategy of having 60 per cent of your assets in equities and 40 per cent in bonds has been something of a disaster — 60/40 is heading for the worst year since 2008 (when a standard 60/40 portfolio fell 20 per cent). The only hiding place has been China.

Sadly, this level of misery does not mean there is not more misery to come. There may be a recession ahead.

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