FT商学院

The quantum computing bubble

The industry has yet to demonstrate any real utility, despite the fanfare, billions of VC dollars and three Spacs
Nikita Gourianov is a physicist at Oxford university that works with computational quantum physics. Here he argues that people have become wildly over-optimistic on the prospects of quantum computing.

Financial bubbles occur when large groups of investors repeatedly make poor investment decisions, often due to greed, misunderstanding and easy money. A modern-day example of this is quantum computing.

Quantum computing is often portrayed as an up-and-coming technology whose eventual impact will only be rivalled by artificial intelligence. According to the quantum evangelists, it is only a matter of time before a fully-functional quantum computer will appear and do everything from revolutionising drug development to cracking internet encryption schemes.

Billions of dollars have poured into the field in recent years, culminating with the public market debuts of prominent quantum computing companies like IonQ, Rigetti and D-Wave through 2021’s favourite frothy market phenomenon, special purpose acquisition vehicles (Spacs).

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