In a more recent note, Professor Roubini predicts a combination of stagnation and deflation*. In doing so he points, with some glee, to the most recent analysis of the global outlook from JPMorgan Chase, once among the most bullish of analysts. Now, under the rubric “A bad week in hell”, JPMorgan states that: “Once again, we have taken an axe to near-term growth forecasts for the developed world and will likely follow up with additional downward revisions for emerging economies in the coming weeks. Already, our forecasts suggest that global gross domestic product will contract at a near 1 per cent annual rate” in the fourth quarter of 2008 and the first quarter of 2009.
鲁比尼教授在最近发表的一篇文章中，预测manbetx app苹果 将陷入manbetx20客户端下载 停滞和通货紧缩的境地*。他还带着些许欢喜之情列举出摩根大通(JPMorgan Chase)对manbetx app苹果 manbetx20客户端下载 前景的最新分析。在鲜红色的标题“灾难性的一周”之下，一度身居最乐观分析机构之列的摩根大通表示：“我们再次大幅下调对发达国家短期manbetx20客户端下载 增长的预测，而且未来几周很可能跟进，再度下修新兴manbetx20客户端下载 体预测。我们的预测已经指出，折合成年率后，2008年第四季度和2009年第一季度manbetx app苹果 国内生产总值(GDP)将缩减近1%。”