CHINA'S EXCHANGE RATE POLICY IS THE QUID PRO QUO FOR FISCAL EXPANSION
应让manbetx3.0 保持汇率稳定


斯坦福大学教授麦金农:在汇率稳定的情况下,manbetx3.0 的财政扩张措施将能发挥最大效用。美国人若要manbetx3.0 加大manbetx20客户端下载 刺激力度,就要停止给人民币升值施压。

There is a good economic rationale for China's wanting to keep the renminbi/dollar rate stable. First, as long as the fixed rate is credible - as it was between 1995 and 2004 at 8.28 yuan per dollar - it served as an effective monetary anchor for China's internal price level. After inflation had exploded to over 20 per cent per year in 1993-95, the fixed-rate anchor helped China regain price-level stability. Second, the big fiscal stimulus which Mr Wen is now contemplating would be most effective if China's exchange rate is kept stable - as it has been since last July.

对manbetx3.0 来说,保持人民币兑美元汇率稳定有充分的manbetx20客户端下载 理由。首先,只要固定汇率是可信的——就像1995年至2004年间维持在1美元兑8.28元人民币那样,它就可以有效地充当manbetx3.0 国内价格水平的“货币锚”(monetary anchor)。在1993至1995年通货膨胀猛升至逾20%之后,固定汇率“锚”有助于manbetx3.0 物价恢复稳定。其次,如果人民币汇率保持稳定(事实上自去年7月以来便一直如此),那么温先生正在考虑的大规模财政刺激计划将发挥出最大效果。

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