The worst recession in decades will curtail oil demand for years to come, the International Energy Agency predicted yesterday as it cut sharply its forecasts for world consumption and declared that the threat of a supply crunch had receded.
The consuming countries' oil watchdog said it expected global demand to grow at an average annual rate of just 0.6 per cent or 540,000 barrels per day from 2008-14, raising consumption from 85.8m b/d to 89m b/d.
This latest forecast is 3.3m b/d lower than the previous forecast for 2013 volumes. If the agency's most pessimistic economic scenario proves correct, oil demand could contract, with consumption falling to 84.9m b/d by 2014, it said in a report.
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