With the current extreme price increases for wheat, we are observing potentially the early stages of another global food-price crisis. Even if this does not evolve into something as dramatic as the crisis of 2007-08, when prices of major agricultural commodities from corn to rice shot up to record levels, triggering food riots from Bangladesh to Haiti, it is a stark indication of the perilous state of the world food market. Some lessons have been learned from 2008, but too little has been done to prevent future crises. In particular the malfunctioning of world grain markets has not been addressed – a failure now haunting world markets. The fixing of international food prices today is the result of three forces: expectations on future supply and demand; the growing role of speculators in commodity markets, and the importance of food prices for political stability in countries such as Egypt. Today, low-income countries and the poor are actually more vulnerable than before the last food crisis.
面对目前小麦价格的极端上涨，我们可能正处于又一场manbetx app苹果 粮食价格危机的初期阶段。即便此次不会演变成2007年至2008年那种引人瞩目的粮食危机——当时从玉米到大米，主要农产品价格均飙升至创纪录水平，引发了从孟加拉到海地等国的粮食骚乱——但这绝对表明manbetx app苹果 食品市场正处于危险状态。我们从2008年的危机中吸取了一些教训，但在防范未来危机方面做的太少，特别是manbetx app苹果 粮食市场失灵的问题未得到解决，这一失误眼下正困扰着manbetx app苹果 市场。目前，manbetx app苹果 粮食价格的确定取决于三大因素：对未来供求的预期；大宗商品市场投机者的影响力日益增强；以及食品价格对埃及等国政治稳定的重要性。如今，低收入国家和贫困人口，实际上比上一次粮食危机之前更为脆弱。