Many hope the G20 summit can reach an agreement in which large countries co-ordinate their currencies, staving off a full-fledged “currency war”. The US Treasury secretary Tim Geithner proposed a cap of 4 per cent for a country’s current account surplus/deficit in the preparatory meeting of finance ministers and central bank governors. Much of it is geared toward the renminbi. Ideas of a Plaza Accord 2.0 have been floated in American policy circles for a while, in a bid to force the renminbi to revalue, just as the Plaza Accord of 1985 forced the Japanese yen to revalue. But such an idea is more hope than reality. At the summit, China will stand firm against any attempts to force fast appreciation.
许多人希望,G20峰会能够达成一项协议,各大国将按照该协议对各自汇率进行协调,从而阻止“汇率战”的全面爆发。在此前财长和央行行长们参加的预备会议上,美国财长蒂姆•盖特纳(Tim Geithner)提议,将一国经常账户盈余(或赤字)占GDP比例的上限定为4%。此举主要针对人民币。美国政策制定者中间一度流传着出台《广场协议2.0版》的想法,以迫使人民币重估,就像1985年《广场协议》迫使日元重估一样。但这样的想法不过是一种不切实际的希望。在峰会上,manbetx3.0 将坚决抵制任何企图迫使人民币快速升值的言行。