There is only a minuscule chance that Japan’s Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant will turn into a new Chernobyl. The markets are doing a terrible job of trying to price the tiny risk of that disastrous outcome, as they always do for so-called “black swans”.
日本福岛第一核电站(Fukushima Daiichi)变成第二个切尔诺贝利(Chernobyl)的可能性极小。和以往对所谓的“黑天鹅事件”一样,在为这种低风险的灾难性后果进行定价方面,市场的表现相当糟糕。
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