The Office for Budgetary Responsibility is a welcome innovation within the UK policymaking framework. Too often governments have manipulated the numbers. The OBR should end such finagling. More important, it should end the fear of such finagling. Greater confidence in the probity of official forecasts is a public good. Yet it is crucial to distinguish probity from correctness. The OBR is honest and competent. How could it be otherwise with my former colleague Robert Chote at its head? But it might still be wrong. Economists just do not know very much.
在英国的政策制定框架内，预算责任办公室(Office of Budget Responsibility，简称OBR)是一个受欢迎的创新。在太多情况下，政府操纵了数据。OBR应该结束这种欺骗性的做法。更重要的是，它应该终结人们对这种欺骗的担忧。人们对官方预测诚信度的信心增强，符合公众的利益。但有一点至关重要：诚信不等于正确。OBR是诚实且富有能力的。有我以前的同事罗伯特•乔特(Robert Chote)的领导，它怎么可能不这样呢？但它仍然有可能出错。manbetx20客户端下载 学家就是所知甚少。