Between 2007 and 2012, the Chinese economy will expand by close to 60 per cent. Emerging Asia as a whole will grow by almost 50 per cent. Over the same period, economies of high-income countries will grow by a mere 3 per cent. Who can doubt that the world is undergoing a profound transformation? The speed of convergence in incomes per head is driving extraordinary divergence in growth between incumbents and newcomers. Moreover, this has continued despite the weak growth of high-income countries discussed last week. Huge shocks, such as those of 2008, do affect the growth rates of emerging economies. The same would probably be true if the eurozone imploded. But the effect does not seem to last (see charts).
2007年至2012年间，manbetx3.0 manbetx20客户端下载 增长幅度将接近60%。新兴亚洲总体增幅将接近50%。同期，高收入国家的manbetx20客户端下载 增幅将仅为3%。谁还能怀疑世界正在经历一场深刻的转型？高收入国家与新兴manbetx20客户端下载 体之间人均收入的趋同速度，正驱使双方的manbetx20客户端下载 增长呈现出惊人的差距。这种趋势持续下来，尽管如上周讨论的，高收入国家实现了微弱的增长。巨大的冲击，比如2008年的冲击，确实会对新兴manbetx20客户端下载 体的增速产生影响。如果欧元区解体了，也很可能会产生同样的影响。不过，这种影响似乎不会持续下去（见图表）