The daily news about falling oil prices is the beginning of a major shift in the global economy: the end of the “commodity supercycle”, the idea that the rise of emerging markets led by China would continue to drive up prices for oil and other commodities, from copper to corn. Its end spells trouble for the many companies and countries, such as Brazil and Russia, that have prospered in the past decade from the sale of raw materials to China. It also spells relief for commodity importing countries, from the US to Turkey.
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