欧元区

Lex_Eurozone growth – go figure
Lex专栏:德法manbetx20客户端下载 数据值得乐观吗?


周二发布的数据显示,今年第二季度德国manbetx20客户端下载 环比增长0.3%,而法国manbetx20客户端下载 环比持平,这些数据受到市场欢迎。但这些只是初步数据,修正后的最终数据可能偏低,也可能偏高。

There is much twaddle spoken about finance and economics. Take the eurozone growth figures released on Tuesday and the reaction in stock markets. For starters, it is flat out wrong to report that the economies of Germany and France did not contract in the second quarter – that the former expanded 0.3 per cent from April to June versus the first quarter while the latter remained flat was taken positively by markets. But these were preliminary data. The small print out of Germany’s federal statistics office admits provisional gross domestic product results can “fall below or exceed final results” by up to half a percentage point before the final numbers come in. Likewise, the Insee in Paris calculates that the average revision to its GDP data after three years is 0.3 percentage points.

眼下有很多关于金融和manbetx20客户端下载 学的胡扯。就拿周二发布的欧元区增长数据和股市反应来说吧。首先,报告德国和法国manbetx20客户端下载 在第二季度没有收缩根本是错的——数据显示,德国manbetx20客户端下载 在4月至6月的这个季度与首季度相比扩张0.3%,而法国manbetx20客户端下载 与首季度持平,这些数据受到市场的欢迎。但这些只是初步数据。德国联邦统计局在小字说明中承认,初步的国内生产总值(GDP)结果可能与最终数据有至多半个百分点的出入,可能偏低,也可能偏高。同样,法国国家统计局(Insee)的计算是,该国GDP数据在三年后的平均修正幅度为0.3个百分点。

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