观点美国manbetx20客户端下载

How the American economy could surprise us all
美国manbetx20客户端下载 复苏的后劲


前美国副财长阿尔特曼:在房地产复苏、能源革命、银行业恢复活力等多种因素带动下,未来几年美国manbetx20客户端下载 增速有望超过长期潜在增速2.5%。

In the past three years, the most noteworthy aspect of the US recovery has been its weakness. The headwinds arising from the 2008 financial collapse, especially against household finances, housing and lending, have held annualised growth at the meagre 1.7 per cent rate we saw in the last quarter. They have prevented an improvement in the labour market, as evidenced by the recent 30-year low in the proportion of the workforce in employment. These headwinds are now beginning to abate but it may be another four years before they fully subside.

过去3年来,美国manbetx20客户端下载 复苏中最值得关注的一点就是复苏一直显得疲软乏力。2008年金融危机引发各种逆风,家庭财务、房地产和放贷等领域首当其冲。在逆风侵袭下,美国上季度manbetx20客户端下载 增速仅为1.7%(按年率计算)。这些逆风使就业市场难以好转,就业人口占劳动人口比例最近达到30年低点就证实了这点。目前逆风正开始减弱,但完全平息下来可能还需要4年时间。

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