As the world edges towards a peace conference on Syria, three ideas about the west’s role in the conflict are widely accepted. First, that the longer the conflict goes on, the greater the chances of direct or indirect western military intervention. Second, that there is a deep and bitter division between the US and Russia that is making progress much harder. Third, that the Syrian civil war is dominating western thinking on the Middle East. Few people publicly dispute these propositions. And yet they are all distinctly questionable.
在世界迎接叙利亚和平会议之际,三种关于西方在这场冲突中的角色的观点被广泛接受。首先,冲突持续时间越长,西方直接或间接军事干预的几率就越大。其次,美国和俄罗斯之间存在既深又尖锐的分歧,这让叙利亚局势更难取得进展。第三,叙利亚内战正在主导西方在中东问题上的思路。很少有人公开质疑这些观点。然而这些观点都是明显有问题的。