What do the Bushmen of the Kalahari have in common with John Maynard Keynes? In a visionary essay entitled “Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren” (1930), Keynes made two prophecies: first, that the Great Depression would prove to be “only a temporary period of adjustment” and that prosperity would increase for the next two generations and more. On this his prediction that living standards “one hundred years hence will be between four and eight times as high” was correct; we are five times better off than our grandparents or great-grandparents were in 1930 and our children may be eight times better off than them by 2030.
喀拉哈里沙漠(Kalahari)的布希曼人(Bushmen)与manbetx20客户端下载 学家约翰•梅纳德•凯恩斯(John Maynard Keynes)有何共通之处？在1930年发表的前瞻性文章《我们后代的manbetx20客户端下载 前景》(Economic Possibilities for Our Grandchildren)中，凯恩斯作了两大预测：第一是大萧条最终“只是短暂的调整期”，以及孙子辈（甚至更多代）的人将更加富足。他基于此所作的“一百年后（2030年）英国的人均收入将再要提高四至八倍”的预测准确无误；我们比1930年祖父辈及高祖辈的收入增加了五倍，到2030年，我们下一代的收入将是他们的8倍。