The season of goodwill has made way for the new year torrent of predictions. Most are quickly forgotten – mercifully so, given the hit rate of the commentariat. Today’s world spins too quickly for the sharpest crystal-ball gazer. A better way of looking at what lies ahead is to chart some of the underlying forces shaping the global landscape. The outline that emerges is one of rising prosperity and opportunity, and of diminishing security.
表达善意的季节（指圣诞节——译者注）已经让位于新年的预测潮。大多数预测很快就被人忘掉了——幸好如此，因为预测者的准确率低得可怜。当今世界的节奏太快，就连最敏锐的水晶球占卜者也跟不上。研究未来的更好方式是梳理那些塑造着manbetx app苹果 格局的基本力量。由此得出的大格局是人们日益富足和充满机遇，但安全状况不断下降。
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