Washington is abuzz with talk of a containment strategy to deter a newly aggressive Russia and punish it for challenging the post-cold war European order with its seizure of Crimea. Advocates point out that similar strategies succeeded in undermining the Soviet Union and bringing Iran to the negotiating table. No matter that success came after more than 40 years in the first case and a dozen in the second, following the Iran non-proliferation act of 2000. Containment is a strategy for the long term, for at least as long as Vladimir Putin remains in power. It will not work. Nor will it advance US interests.
华盛顿正在热议一项遏制战略，这一战略旨在遏制近来咄咄逼人的俄罗斯，并惩罚其吞并克里米亚、以此挑战冷战后的欧洲秩序的行为。支持者们指出，类似的战略成功瓦解了苏联，也曾让伊朗走到谈判桌前。不过，第一次的成功用了40多年，第二次是在《2000年伊朗核不扩散法案》出台12年后才取得成果的。最起码，只要弗拉基米尔•普京(Vladimir Putin)仍在掌权，遏制就是一项长期战略。它不会奏效，也不会增强美国的利益。