观点普京

Putin has one weapon left to protect the rouble and he must wield it wisely
普京唯一的武器


约翰•霍普金斯大学教授让尼:普京只剩下资本管制这一个选择了。这一招对俄罗斯会不会奏效?有可能,但必须配合相应的政策调整,从根本上解决导致危机的问题。

On top of his Ukrainian tribulations Vladimir Putin now has to manage a war of attrition with currency speculators. Lack of confidence in the Russian economy has prompted a flight in capital as some investors seek to limit their losses on rouble assets while others actively bet on a continued depreciation of the currency. The president’s battlefield options range from strategic retreat (allowing depreciation) to raising interest rates and selling foreign exchange to imposing controls on capital outflows.

除面对乌克兰的麻烦事之外,俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔•普京(Vladimir Putin)眼下还要与货币投机者打一场消耗战。投资者对俄manbetx20客户端下载 缺乏信心,导致俄出现资本外逃,一些投资者正谋求控制所持卢布资产的损失,还有一些投资者积极押注于卢布持续贬值。普京的战术选择有如下几种:战略撤退(即允许卢布贬值),加息,出售外汇,以及对资本外流实施管制。

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