In 2007 I made a bet with a fellow Russian businessman. The price of oil, he told me, would never drop below $80 again. This was the consensus among oilmen at the time. And that, I thought, was the surest sign that the oil price would soon start falling.
2007年，我和一位俄罗斯商人朋友打了个赌。他跟我说，油价永远不会再跌回80美元以下。这种说法是当时石油商圈子里的普遍观点。但我当时认为，这就是预示油价很快将开始下跌的最肯定信号。
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