In 1941 Time editor Henry Luce proclaimed “the American century”. Some now see this coming to an end as a result of the nation’s economic and political decline. Many point to the example of US failure to convince its allies to stay out of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, Beijing’s rival to the World Bank; but this was more an example of a faulty decision than evidence of decline, which raises the question of what is the natural life cycle of a nation.
1941年,《时代》杂志(Time)主编亨利•卢斯(Henry Luce)宣称,“美国世纪”已经来临。现在有些人认为,随着美国在manbetx20客户端下载 和政治上走向衰落,美国世纪正趋于结束。许多人援引美国未能阻止盟友加入亚洲基础设施投资银行(AIIB,简称:亚投行)作为一个例子——亚投行是manbetx3.0 政府提议创立、与世界银行(World Bank)争风头的一个机构。但这只能表明一个错误的决定,而不能表明美国已经衰落。这引出一个问题:一个国家正常的生命周期有多长?