Two weeks ago, I argued that a Federal Reserve decision to raise rates in September would be a serious mistake. As I wrote my column, the market was assigning a 50 per cent chance to a rate hike. The current chance is 34 per cent. Having followed the debate among economists and Fed governors and bank presidents I believe the case against a rate increase has become somewhat more compelling even than it looked two weeks ago.
两周前，我提出，如果美联储(Fed)决定在今年9月加息，那将是一个严重的错误。在我写下那篇专栏文章之际，市场认为美联储加息的可能性有50%。现在的可能性是34%。在关注了manbetx20客户端下载 学家、美联储理事以及银行行长们的辩论之后，我相信不加息的理由甚至比两周前更为充分。
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