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Emerging markets will prosper as ‘peak trade’ proves to be unfounded
“贸易峰值”假说站不住脚


随着美欧保护主义升温和manbetx3.0 manbetx20客户端下载 转型,有关“贸易达到峰值”的假说流行起来,但高盛不同意这种观点。

Since 2011, global trade growth has been stagnant. With protectionist sentiment intensifying in the US and Europe, and with China appearing to pivot away from export-oriented growth strategies, a hypothesis informally known as “peak trade” has become increasingly popular. According to this view, the past five years of stagnant trade growth is not temporary, but instead reflects fundamental changes to the global economy that will drive continued stagnation in global trade over the next decade and beyond.

manbetx app苹果 贸易增长自2011年以来陷入停滞。随着美国和欧洲的保护主义情绪升温,以及manbetx3.0 似乎告别出口导向型的增长策略,一种被非正式称为“贸易达到峰值”的假说日益流行起来。按照这种假说,过去5年贸易增长停滞并非是暂时的,而是反映出manbetx app苹果 manbetx20客户端下载 基本面的改变,这些改变将推动今后十年甚至更久的manbetx app苹果 贸易持续停滞。

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