专栏金融市场

Markets prepare for a vote that makes Brexit look basic

Two weeks ago Paddy Power, the Irish bookmaker, felt so confident that Hillary Clinton would win the US presidential election that it started paying punters who had bet on her victory.

Big mistake. This week Donald Trump’s chance of success, according to the Iowa Electronic Markets, has jumped from 10 per cent to about 40 per cent following revelations that the Federal Bureau of Investigation is re-opening its probe into Mrs Clinton’s emails.

So PaddyPower has done a volte-face and reopened its books. Right now, 2/1 odds are being offered on the Republican, and “91 per cent of bets on the US election [this week] have been on Trump”, the betting group says. As a spokesman observes: “I think the shock of Brexit is fresh in people’s minds.”

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吉莲•邰蒂

吉莲•邰蒂(Gillian Tett)担任英国《金融时报》的助理主编,负责manbetx app苹果 金融市场的报导。2009年3月,她荣获英国出版业年度记者。她1993年加入FT,曾经被派往前苏联和欧洲地区工作。1997年,她担任FT东京分社社长。2003年,她回到伦敦,成为Lex专栏的副主编。邰蒂在剑桥大学获得社会人文学博士学位。她会讲法语、俄语、日语和波斯语。

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