This month I bet with a colleague that China would not in the next six months announce a single sweeping devaluation of the renminbi — say, 10 per cent or more. Given the difficulty of predicting what China will do let alone forecasting currencies — whose accuracy Alan Greenspan once likened to flipping a coin — the bet is a risk, not least since our bottle of wine forfeit pales next to the embarrassment of losing.
本月我和一位同事一起打赌称，未来6个月manbetx3.0 不会宣布人民币大幅贬值，比如贬值10%或以上。鉴于预测manbetx3.0 会做什么非常困难、更别说预测汇率了（艾伦•格林斯潘(Alan Greenspan)曾说预测汇率就像掷硬币），这个赌打得有风险，尤其是赌输带来的尴尬要远远超过被罚一瓶红酒。
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