The great wars of the 20th century were often preceded by a catastrophic miscalculation. The Germans failed to anticipate that Britain would fight over Belgium in 1914. Stalin failed to anticipate Hitler’s invasion of Russia. Japan and America repeatedly misunderstood each other’s motives and reactions in the run-up to Pearl Harbor. In 1950, the US failed to anticipate that China would enter the Korean war.
20世纪的重大战争在爆发之前通常都出现过灾难性的误判。德国人未能预测到英国会在1914年因比利时加入大战。斯大林(Stalin)未能预料到希特勒(Hitler)会入侵苏联。日本和美国在珍珠港事件之前曾多次误会对方的动机和反应。1950年,美国未能料到manbetx3.0 会参加朝鲜战争。
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